Tradersweekly

Tradersweekly

With economists celebrating the "goldilocks economy" and VIX breaking below the lower bound of the pattern, the big question lingers: "Is this another fakeout before resurgence to $20?" Illustration 1.01 The yellow arrow indicates a breakout below the lower bound of the pattern we have been observing since its early formation. Please feel free to express...

Tradersweekly Updated 

Following a breakdown below $57,000, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) rebounded last week in a broad market risk-on move. Currently, it trades near the $64,000 price tag, situated slightly above the 20-day SMA, which now acts as a critical support level; a failure to hold ground above this level will be concerning, while a success could foreshadow continuation higher. With that...

Tradersweekly

Last Friday, the SPX gapped up at the open and temporarily broke above the 50-day SMA during the trading session. Finally, yesterday, the SPX managed to close above this line of resistance, which is a positive development. However, a failure of the price to defend the ground above this level, now acting as support, for multiple consecutive days will be concerning....

Tradersweekly Updated 

Amid a quick change in the market sentiment in mid-April 2024 and subsequent weakness in stocks, West Texas Intermediate crude oil (USOIL) retreated from its highs to $78 per barrel. In the process, USOIL broke below the lower bound of the ascending channel, and the daily time frame turned bearish, with MACD crossing below the midpoint, Stochastic falling into the...

Tradersweekly

Apple delivered its financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2024. According to the report, the company generated revenue worth $90.753 billion, down 4.3% YoY, and net income of $23.636 billion, representing a decrease of 2.16% YoY. Operating income amounted to $27.9 billion for the same period, falling 1.5% YoY. In addition to that, Apple announced...

Tradersweekly Updated 

Israel retaliated against Iran overnight, which saw the price of WTI crude oil jump nearly 4.5% before giving up some of its gains. Per media reports, three large explosions were heard in the country's south, and the U.S. official announced Israel successfully hit some of the targets, something Iran was quick to deny. Without regard for damages, it is already...

Tradersweekly

The first documented use of charts goes back to ancient Babylonia, where their early forms were used primarily for record-keeping by astrologists and merchants. Then, sometime between the 5th and 6th century A.D., these graphical representations developed into a form reminiscent of today’s charts. Further refinement and development of charting techniques...

Tradersweekly

Yesterday's FOMC meeting concluded with a decision to keep the monetary policy unchanged, leaving the federal funds rate at 5.25% to 5.5%. During the subsequent press conference, Jerome Powell outlined the solid state of the economy alongside heightened inflationary pressures. Notably, he disclosed plans to commence with the reduction in quantitative tightening...

Tradersweekly Updated 

The SPX has rallied approximately 3.5% since its lows on 19th April 2024 and well into the two-day FOMC meeting that kicks off today. In line with general market expectations, we do not anticipate any change to the central bank’s monetary policy, and just like on previous occasions, we expect Jerome Powell to reiterate the FED’s commitment to fighting inflation...

Tradersweekly

Bitcoin broke below the critical support level at $59,313 and established a new low below $57,000. In doing so, Bitcoin fell through the lower bound of the downward-sloping channel, further bolstering a bearish case in the short term. In our opinion, it is possible we are witnessing the bursting of a bubble. However, more developments are needed to confirm this...

Tradersweekly

Amazon announced its earnings for the first quarter of 2024 yesterday after the closing bell. The company reported net sales worth $143.3 billion, marking a 13% YoY increase, and net income of $10.4 billion, up 225% YoY. Operating income rose to $15.3 billion, representing a growth of 218% YoY, with the AWS segment contributing $9.4 billion to the figure and...

Tradersweekly Updated 

Gold retreated over $100 from its all-time highs established earlier this month. Interestingly, this move down follows a pullback of similar magnitude in the U.S. stock market, which we have repeatedly referred to as a threat to gold’s spectacular performance; one minor detail to point out here is that this time around, gold seems to be falling in reaction to what...

Tradersweekly

While volatility pulled back following a spike earlier this month, this week will put it back to the test with the FOMC meeting (on Tuesday and Wednesday) and economic releases throughout the week, including S&P Global Manufacturing PMI, ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTs job openings, S&P Global Composite PMI, S&P Global Services PMI, ISM Services PMI, nonfarm...

Tradersweekly

It has been about a week since Bitcoin’s fourth halving. Yet, despite investors’ bullish expectations of what would have come, Bitcoin has not really gone anywhere. Instead, it continues to trade choppily within the recently formed downward-sloping channel, and its technicals on the daily graph, including RSI, MACD, and Stochastic, show bearish signs; this also...

Tradersweekly Updated 

Yesterday’s financial print in the United States revealed a notable decrease in the GDP growth rate on a quarterly basis, coming down from 3.4% in 4Q23 to only 1.6% in 1Q24. This figure was well below market expectations of 2.5%, which spooked investors and led to a sudden drop across U.S. stock market indices. Nevertheless, by the market close, the SPX recovered...

Tradersweekly

After the closing bell on Tuesday, Tesla reported its earnings for the first quarter of 2024. Despite the report showing a 9% YoY decline in total revenue and a staggering 55% YoY drop in net income, along with an increase in operating costs by 37% YoY, shares of the company soared more than 12% in the aftermarket. The price action, however, was not the same for...

Tradersweekly Updated 

The S&P 500 Index has been edging lower for nearly a month, accompanied by a rise in volatility. From its all-time highs in late March 2024, the SPX has declined about 5.6%, which begs the question of a rebound. Interestingly, this week, several big names, including Alphabet, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, and Tesla, are reporting their earnings for the first quarter...

Tradersweekly

While Bitcoin rose to new all-time highs this year, many altcoins seem to lag behind it, showing a somewhat similar dynamic to that observed between large-cap and small-cap stocks (where large and well-established companies managed to recover in the past year or so while their smaller counterparts have been struggling). In addition to that, it is often overlooked...