Average_Joe_Options

Average_Joe_Options

On the macro side of things it seems like the dreaded stagflation scenario is more likely than not. With GDP slowing, inflation persisting and unemployment creeping up the overall economic outlook doesn't seem great. Add in the overseas tensions with two active wars and China seeming to increase aggressive talks on Taiwan, it would make any normal person hesitant...

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ANF's Recent Pullback and Future Outlook ANF has experienced a significant pullback from its all-time highs after its most recent earnings report. This trend isn't unique to ANF, as even Lululemon (LULU), a market leader, has seen a drawdown since the year's beginning. However, I believe ANF's current rise is likely a short-term bounce, not a sustained...

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Overall market: Last week the market was all over the place, originally falling due to META, but then bounced after MSFT and GOOG earning. It seems tensions in the middle east are going to continue and any bad news can have a significant impact on the market. In addition inflation seems to be stickier than previously anticipated and higher rates for longer...

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ANF has been on an absolute tear. Is it warranted?? Yes, their earning have drastically improved, but is this growth sustainable with continued increases in credit default rates? This brand has no cult following like that of Lululemon. YTD +40% 1 year chart +331% +66% previous peak in 2007 when this clothing brand was the one and only for teens. Currently...

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AMD vs. NVDA: When looking at these two stocks it's clear that NVDA is the clear winner and will maintain its pricing power over alternatives. NVDA's Gross margin (75.97%) is +35.57% that of AMD (40.4%). Although AMD has a low price to sales ratio this is likely due to them having a "Walmart sales model". High volume, low margin. This is illustrated...

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Like many other stocks AAPL has been on a sharp rise up since testing its 200 day MA. After testing the 200 day MA AAPL has broken out of a descending wedge to the upside. My conservative price target was $196 which was $2 short of its all time high. Momentum has started to slow and it is looking like AAPL is ready to retest its 200 day. Negative divergence...

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NYSE:CMG Year to date Chipotle is on an absolute tear. As of writing this post, it is up 58% YTD totaling +$848 per share. Due to its share price, it has a low daily trading volume and wide bid-ask spread making it a more risky trade. Since 10/25/23 it has been on a straight line up after retesting the 200-day moving average. RSI is currently at 80.77...