US 10Y yields higher than Greek 10Y YieldsIn case you missed the memo.... US 10 Year bonds have a higher yield than Greek 10 Year ones..by AlexSpiroglou114
US10Y - Continued LongsMy projection for this week was a bit late but nonetheless, bullish projections of lowest displacement fair value gap was the target and yields achieved it, topping out just before CE was met @ 4.696%. Shortly after, yields witnessed a sharp paintbrush retracement mid week and never closed out higher than the highs printed on Wednesday 17th April 2024. On Friday, the last trading day for the week yields experienced a sellstop raid, taking out this weekβs whole sellside range whilst closing bearish but up 90% from the manipulated downside sweep indicating that buystops is next on the horizon. The daily order block was also respected @ 4.593% with Fridays candle body closing above that price point as well as above the weekly Sep - Oct 23 liquidity void. My philosophy is simple... Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go. This includes; - Market Structure - Buyside/Sellside Liquidity - Order Blocks - Liquidity Voids - Fair Value Gaps - Optimal Trade Entry - Premium/Discount Array - SIBI/BISI - Many More! The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated. Credits; - Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE - Shawn Lee POWELL - Toray KORTANOn that note, I am expecting further bullish price action, attacking the consequent encroachment @ 4.735% with a possibility that the buy programme will elevate price action up to 4.80%, upper displacement weekly fair value gap. On that note, I can expect a selloff in bonds as yields and bonds tend to have strong reverse correlation. Longby LegendSinceUpdated 2
10 Year to 5% or 5.5%10 year looks to be heading to 5 or 5.5 %. MACD and RSI showing upward trend on weekly still. Upward fib extension looks to retest previous high or beyond if Fed doesnβt lower rates anytime soon. Looking for CPI prints to see whether Inflation is going back up which may impact 10 year and I believe the market will continue down while 10 year heads upwards so Iβm short the market.Shortby AudiSwingTrader114
Time to short 10 YR YIELDS and Long TLT? π€1O YR yields may have topped and are retracing to 4.4%. β€΅οΈ TLT which have an inverse relationship with the yields are reversing back up. π Time to short 10 YR YIELDS and Long TLT? π€ π§ πShortby JK_Market_Recap5
Analysis of US 10-Year Treasury Bonds (US10Y)Introduction: I won't have many comments on the US 10-Year Treasury Bonds (US10Y) as the statements made by Chairman Powell could alter the chart. In my estimation, it seems unlikely that there will be further interest rate cuts for a while, which could have positive implications for the price of gold. Technical Analysis: The chart for US 10-Year Treasury Bonds (US10Y) could experience volatility due to uncertainties. However, the statements made by Chairman Powell could have a significant impact on the markets. Therefore, short-term movements in bonds may not be predictable. Risk Warning: This analysis does not constitute investment advice and is based solely on personal opinions. Due to market volatility, investors should conduct their own research and consider their risk tolerance.by Can_EasyMoney_TR4
US 10Y TREASURY: first cut in September? To be or not to be β the rate cut this year? The markets switched their expectations from March and May toward September, although currently not with high certainty. Recent data show still high resilience of the US economy on tight monetary policy. Retail sales in March were increased by 0.7% on a monthly basis, which was a figure much higher from 0.3% expected by markets. For markets, this information means that the inflation might pick up further, so the Fed will be reluctant to cut interest rates. Still, Friday trading session brought some strong corrections in 10Y US yields. Although Treasury bonds were traded at 4.69% at their weekly peak, they slipped on Friday till the level of 4.5%. Still, yields are ending the week at 4.62%. The modest drop in yields during Friday was the result of developments in the Middle East, however, the markets swiftly corrected their view, turning it toward the current fundamentals. Aside from fundamentals which are not quite favored by markets, the geopolitics will continue to have their own influence on markets. In this sense, some relaxation in 10Y Treasury yields should be expected, however, they will react to any negative news related to the Middle East crisis. Markets will continue to weigh on the risks from this side. by XBTFX11
Possibly a bit lowerUS10Y possibly heading lower towards 4.30 after a huge spike all the way to 4.70Shortby GlassICE6
US 10-year yields back to 5%The US treasury market is becoming agitated at the latest Fed stance that rates may most likely remain unchanged through the 2Q2024 and 3Q2024 which has put upward pressure on the US treasury yields. US 10-year yields broke back above 4.50% last week and a continued sell-off will see yields spike back to 5.00% for as long as the current Fed narrative holds it ground. Additionally, the 50-day MA has crossed above the 200-day MA, the infamous golden cross. Longby Goose96111
US10Y - Bull Run Rages On!Last weeks bullish projection played out as expected with the monthly OB and liquidity void being met by the end of this weeks trading. Trend is your friend and although it's not guaranteed we will continue to trend upwards, there's a higher probability that US10Y does rather than not on a weekly timeframe. This does not mean this weeks price action will reprice upto the lower displacement fair value gap @ 4.667% but throughout the month of April this what i will be on a lookout for. Minor retracement during the week is acceptable with the weekly BISI in mind but i do not want to see a daily closeure below @ 4.274%. My philosophy is simple... Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go. This includes; - Market Structure - Buyside/Sellside Liquidity - Order Blocks - Liquidity Voids - Fair Value Gaps - Optimal Trade Entry - Premium/Discount Array - SIBI/BISI - Many More! The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated. Credits; - Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE - Shawn Lee POWELL - Toray KORTANLongby LegendSinceUpdated 3
The US10Y is crazy! Doesn't make sense1981 to 2020 - 39 years! the US10Y has been going down! In 2020 it's start reversing like crazy! What is going on!Longby brian76831110
US10YR Seems to Head to 5.2%US short term funding requirements (33% of existing debt to mature next year) + a clean unbroken trend seems to head the 10 yr yield to 5.2%. This view doesn't constitute investment advice.Longby Diego_GJUpdated 6
US-German yield spreads suggest higher Dollar IndexIt's reasonably well appreciated that the biggest component of the dollar index DXY is the euro. Therefore when trying toanalyse the future direction of the Dollar one needs to consider what is happening to the spread between yields in the two main economic areas (US and Germany as a proxy). If we look at US10Y-DE10Y historically we can see, as might be expected, when the spread rises/widens the Dollar strengthens. So to me, it loks like wwe are currently forming a bullish flag consolidation pattern in the yield spread, suggesting that at some point soon we will get a move higher in the spread, and with it a higher DXY. NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.Longby WVS_StockscreenUpdated 117
20 year bond yields entering Rotation DownwardAnother TLT play is about to start. The 20 year bond yields are rejecting off the channels resistance and will likely move back down to the 200 mda and maybe the bottom of the 4 months upward channel. TLT will respond inversely to this. I have been playing TMV and TMF back and forth since November. I'm up 70% over that time. I'll will likely buy into TMF tomorrow if the machines drop the 20 year off of the resistance. If so, then I'll be ready to dump at the 200mda if we look like we will reject off of it. If the 20 year keeps bumping sideways off the top of the 4 month channel - then I'll be ready to buy into TMV once it breaks out above it. Shortby grumpa06112
10 yr yield targets are being met into 4.70plus .Bonds are ready for a nice Short term rally be long TLT and do NOT be short stocks by wavetimer6
Bonds, DXY are down. Commodities down too, no hedgeHistorically when Bonds and US Dollar DXY are down, then Commodities go up. Their inverse correlation is currently broken. Just something to monitor and warning that something is out of order which should be ringing alarm bells by JK_Market_Recap1
TLT Long - We may see an improvement in a narrow windowI expect a rise around TLT 89.8 at 16.04. This means a pullback of 4.53 for US10Y.Longby Berdem79Updated 1
US Government Bonds 10 YR Yield X Right Prices for year 2024. US Government Bonds 10 YR Yield X Right Prices for year 2024. 4.729% 4.892% 4.862% 4.954% April Distribution price: 5.031%, 5.061% It may also arrive at 5.212% __________________________________ After the Distribution price we will expect a drop to, 4.622% range. Then expecting the prices for Advance stage: 5.344% 5.471% 5.700% We may have mid Retest at 4.928% before make it higher as below prices: 5.768% 5.969% 6.074% 6.253% 6.648% 6.918% 7.071% 7.156% 7.377% 7.641% 7.761% 7.908% 8.013% 8.185% 8.237% 8.342% 8.518% 8.591% 8.721% 8.883% Distribution price: 9.012 Follow by %9.146 by Skill-Knowledge-Conduct1
10 Yield yield is ready to destroy SPYThe 10-year yield is in a huge symmetrical triangle. Break out of it would trigger a massive move in rates. Rates are moving up due to the very hot inflation report. Let's see if will it be rejected or if this will be the end of the bull market for now!Longby Consistent_TradesUpdated 3315
Long term bonds are much higher than when bank fiascoShort term bonds are still trading below the bank fiasco crisis. 1 & 2YR Yields. However....... Long term #yield is higher than it was during the bank fiasco. 10 & 30 YR #Yield. Normalization of the curve is still a ways off. by ROYAL_OAK_INC2
US30Y: A Deep Dive into US30Y Bond Swing-Trade OpportunityThe US30Y bond is a type of loan that the United States government takes from investors. It's called a "30-year bond" because it takes 30 years for the government to pay back the loan in full. When you buy a US30Y bond, you're essentially lending money to the government, and in return, they promise to pay you back the amount you lent, plus interest, over the 30-year period. People trade US30Y bonds because they can buy and sell them before they mature. This means you can potentially make money by selling the bond for more than you paid for it if its value goes up, or you might sell it for less if its value goes down. The value of the bond can change based on factors like interest rates, inflation, and economic conditions. Most investors often see US30Y bonds as a safer investment compared to stocks because they're backed by the government. However, they still carry risks, such as changes in interest rates or inflation levels. So, people who trade US30Y bonds need to carefully consider these factors before making investment decisions. Now let's get into the detailed analysis of this bond 12M: 6M: 3M: 1M: 1D: Longby FractalystUpdated 11
Stock Market Analysis - Bullish & Bearish Sectors Heavy selling observed across the S&P500: Financials & Real Estate hit hard. S&P500 hitting the 50 day MA...technical daily support. Some breakout sectors are seeing there first pullback in a bullish trend. The sectors that have had breakouts will likely see dip buyers. Health Care & Utilities are into some interesting support levels. This is where bulls step in. Megacap Tech still saw some flight to safety money! Lets see if this holds. 16:25by Trading-Capital5
US 10Y TREASURY: inflation means less rate cutsJobs data were the ones that moved the markets two weeks ago, while the previous week was marked with inflation data. The US inflation is quite persistent and moved higher to 3.5% in March, from 3.4% that the market was expecting. The overall market sentiment is that the Fed will stay reluctant to decrease interest rates during the course of this year, since the inflation is slowly moving far away from targeted 2%. However, not all on the market are of this opinion. Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, made a comment of his expectations that the Fed might cut interest rates at least two times till the end of this year, however, the estimated 2% will be missed. In other words, he expects that the Fed will drop the idea of a 2% target, and accept its higher levels. What will be the final Fed's decision, markets will know in May this year, since the next FOMC meeting is scheduled for the first week of May. During the previous week market priced current expectations and moved 10Y Treasury yields to the much higher grounds, from previously expected and traded. At one moment yields reached the level of 4.59%, however, they ended the week at 4.52%. Since the market priced currently known information, it could be expected that yields will calm down a bit in the week ahead. However, there should not be expected some significant drop in yields, at least until the next FOMC meeting.by XBTFX11