h and s forming. possible test of 2412 -20 previous support having completed larger wave 3 at 2451. Now 3 wave abc or wxy wabe a could go for 2150 area. Get the highs imo ...
bearish view and my scenario. rejection of tl back to 1980. numerous rejections. Meaning a test of support red line been nearest at 1920 area. 78% retrace level, note divergence
bull count wave wave 4 of wave 3 flat target of 2654 minimum 2800 top target. This isnt my personal scenario but an obvious bull scenario. a new high would confirm this count with 2400 been pivotal.
what if 5th has just finished? 2.618 of wave 1 we have a perfect count ending at a multi decade tl. very much of opinion we have 3k on cards but this cannot be ignored! 50% 62% would be targets
Same plan, impressive it has managed to test high. However this isnt impulsive like many think. And the divergences volume are there to see. No possible bull for gold until at least 2200. c of larger a to come likely 1.618 5 waves. The major tl will be respected on monthly basis i suspect around 2330
updated from yesterday. Seems a wxy corrective hitting 90 next leg should target 2200 minimum possible 5 waves of c
another scenario larger wave 4 c end at 1980 2600 wave 5. Large but possible b 1.618 of wave a. A running flat with symetry
possible 5 waves of c or y of larger a developing. target of 2200 to 2160 for now before bounce around 385 50%
updated count, believe this to be x impressive hit 62% c of x 1.27% extension. But imo it is corrective and not impulsive no real fib bounce for bull cycle here per other counts. y to complete before wave b that will see 38-50% retrace. target of 1960 not changed 78% of wave 3 into territory of wave 1
seems z or a of a bigger zig zag has finished retrace at 50% level. We can see 2359 before next leg down that will complete at a minimum of 2220 to 2195 before a retest of tl at 2330 i suspect
inside count completed possible a or wave of a and 5 to come pa will tell. c of w may finish at 2140 or 2225 if no extension. We should see a drop after testing 50% fib 55 should not pass
As have been sharing a lot of bullish scenarios. This is my main idea and most likely. I see 3 waves why we have seen 1.27% extension rather than 1.618 at 2500 many are still looking for. wave 5 can get crazy and can tag 3k as many believe will happen. But in shorter term it is going to shake a lot out and create bears. Looking for a bear market starting. ...
Looking bearish 45-47 is key break above could be bullish key area. Looking like a wave abc touching 50%. 224o is target above 47 is invalid.
wanted to share inner count only way i can get this to fit. And would give a target of 2700 for now. Certainly the 2500 many targetting at 1.618 isnt going to happen. Given inner count
Bullish count. possible ascending diagonal wave 4 shallow 24% retrace a break out would give targets of 2676 and 2825 extension 1.618 of wave 1. Wave 5 of wave 5 target would be 2800 and 3031 2936 been 1.618 of wave 1 and 3. Invalidation level 2120.
bulls scenario is causing some problems as inner cycle wave 3 has ended at short of 1.37. All is not lost though 5th wave may extend to cover. Either way forget higher for now 2260-70 most likely but never know 24% if you v bullish. I don't support this count but this the bullish scenario
inner count cycle complete wave 4 of higher degree 38% target of 2270
bullish count update wave 3 of wave 3 complete we have 30% retrace that could be enough but most likely a longer wave 4 correction is necessary. 38% 2271-60 area before a target of 2250. wave 3 hit target perfectly in this count. Note below 2218 bullish count is invalidated. Updated defined targets and timing. at 30% this could be a short shallow retrace that...