Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has seen a major buy signal getting triggered at the end of last month, that few are aware of. Our dominant circulating liquidity + High Yield corporate bonds formula (black trend-line) made a bottom and is rebounding, while BTC has been consolidating/ marginally pulling back. Every time this combination took place in the past (green circles),...
Hang Seng (HSI1!) has started a technical pull-back after getting rejected at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Bullish Megaphone. The minimum correction within this 4-month pattern has been -5.29%, so we are looking to buy after such a dip, potential 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) test and target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (19700). This is the standard target...
The NZDCAD pair just completed a Death Cross on the 1D time-frame, the first since June 20 2023. Even though the price rebounded inside the 1.5 years Higher Lows Zone, the prevailing pattern since December 2023 is a Channel Down. With the July 14 2023 High formed (and rejected) on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, it is possible to see a rejection on the new...
Nasdaq (NDX) easily hit our 18000 Target, which we set 2 weeks ago (April 23, see chart below): That was the top of the Channel Down and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. As mentioned this is an important Resistance level as during the previous correction of the 1.5 year Channel Up (which bottomed on October 26 2023), the 0.786 Fib was the level that...
S&P500 (SPX) is already going even better than our bottom buy signal last week (May 02, see chart below), having topped the 4H Channel Up, considerably above the 4H MA200: The index closed yesterday above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since April 11. Last time it did this was on November 03 2023 and after 5 days of consolidation, it broke...
NVDIA Corporation (NVDA) has been going exactly as planned since our latest update (February 16, see chart below) and looks very promising to hit the 1150 Target: On the shorter term, the 1D time-frame, we see one last buy opportunity arising for those who missed our earlier buy call. Based on the (-21.66%) symmetry of the current correction with that of...
Nikkei (NI225) is about to test the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time as a Resistance, following the bearish break-out on April 15, which was its first breach since November 02 2023. This is a very consistent behavioral pattern with both of the previous two corrections of the 2-year Channel Up pattern. As you can see, reclaiming the 1D MA50 wasn't...
The CADCHF pair Has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since January 2023 but recently it has shown growing signs that the long-term bearish trend is coming to an end. First of all, it formed the first Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame since April 01 2022. Since then, it has held the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as...
WTI Oil (USOIL) gave us an excellent sell signal last week (April 29, see chart below) following the first 4H Death Cross since October 10 2023, which easily hit our Target: We now need to look at the longer-term time-frames for clues on the direction as short-term it turned bearish. Looking at the 1D time-frame though, we can clearly see that WTI is on a...
Dow Jones (DJI) broke on Friday above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since April 10 and even though it failed to close above it, today has already established the price action above it. This is a strong first bullish signal but isn't enough by itself. Even though the 1D RSI has already turned its MA from Resistance to Support, we need to see a...
The EURUSD pair gave us an excellent pull-back buy entry last week (April 30, see chart below) and has almost reached our 1.08300 Target, which was the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level: We now turn bearish as not only is the price near the 0.618 Fib but also hit on Friday and gor rejected on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line)/ 1D MA200 (orange trend-line)...
Gold (XAUUSD) completed on Friday the 2nd straight red 1W (weekly) candle for the first time since mid February. That was when the enormous 9 week rally started that only had to show 1 red week. Even though the long-term pattern is a Bullish Megaphone, the bad news for Gold is that this correction may be far from over and the US10Y (orange trend-line) makes a good...
On this chart we see a major development on the USDT Dominance (USDT.D). It formed its first ever Death Cross on the 5D time-frame, with the MA200 (orange trend-line) turning into Resistance since the start of February. That has never happened in its history and as you can see, when USDT.D declines, Bitcoin (black trend-line) rallies, which has been doing so...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) closed the first green 1W candle following a streak of 4 red ones, so it has been the first week in almost 1 month. That alone is a strong bullish sign, especially on the very aggressive Channel Up on the 1W time-frame (chart on the left). As you can see, every consolidation that is formed after a Higher High (red Rectangle) ends and transcends...
We frequently look at the altcoin market and very often look for clues on its dominance and market cap. A historic comparison of alts with Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) Cycles shows that alts bottom after Bitcoin, a lag which is natural considering that BTC is the market leader. Similarly it is possible for alts to rally when Bitcoin is correcting or consolidating. Using...
When we looked at the China A50 index (CN50) last year (December 21 2023, see chart below), we got the best buy entry possible on more than 1 year span: Our long-term Target at the time of 13000 is almost hit but it now time to re-evaluate our perspective as the index not only hit the top of its almost 2-year Falling Wedge but more importantly made contact...
The USDZAR pair is trading below both its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), having formed a Channel Down (blue) since the start of the year. The 1D RSI hit the bottom of its Rectangle, so even though there is some limited downside on the Channel Down before forming a Lower Low, the reward is much higher on the upside. Assuming a Lower...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) dropped on the Fed Rate Decision day near the 1W MA20 (green trend-line), the closest it has been to it since the week of October 16 2023 when it broke above it. This level is of considerable important for BTC as it is probably the most consistent Support historically during Bull Cycles. On this 1W time-frame analysis, you can see why that is. In...