FX:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
KOG Report:

In last week’s KOG Report, we said we would be looking for price to attempt the high before finding resistance and then we would be looking to short the market. Initially targeting the 1980 level, and upon the break, we would have more confidence in lower pricing. We had the path showing the 1950-55 level and gave the extension levels of 1947-5 as the potential RIP zone.

Price followed the path nearly to the pip each way giving us a level to level, point to point move on Gold, not only the short down, but the bounce giving us a scalp capture to the upside where we wanted 1970 but got 1964.

During the week, we gave KOG’s bias of the day with the levels and activation of bearish below, completing all the bias levels and targets given. A great week of targets completing not only on Gold and the other instruments we trade, but Silver being the star of the show finishing off the week.

So, what can we expect in the week ahead?

Another choppy week is likely with whipsawing price action and swings in both directions. We’re at a crucial price point in Gold having broken the order region which is now on the flip. This structure, however, does complete in extension into the 1920-23 price region. This price point is important for Gold to stay above, as a close below here will lead us to lower pricing. This gives us the weekly resistance level now standing at 1950-55 order region which will be a crucial test and potential opportunity for any long trades. This is the price point we want to monitor with further resistance levels 1965 and above that 1970.

From opening and in the early sessions, if we see price attempt the lower support regions, upon holding and strong support, with a clear set up, we feel an opportunity to long into the higher levels 1950-55 and above that 1965 are reasonable. We’re too low here to short the market, so opportunities may come from higher up if gold wants to play nicely. For that reason, if we do push up during the early part of the week, we’ll target the long trades from the intraday support levels and Excalibur guiding us before looking for resistance to hold above, and then attempting the short trade back down to break the 1930 level. The path is shown on the chart together with the levels we’re looking at.

KOG’s Bias for the week:

Bearish below 1965-70 with targets below 1910
Bullish on break of 1970 with targets above 1985 and above that 1995

This gives us the potential range 1910-1985 for the week ahead.

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As always, trade safe.

KOG
Comment:
End of day update from us here at KOG:

The bias target 1 was complete and price pushed back down into the order region 1955-50 before a temporary bounce. Looking at the 4H we can see a reversal in play with the resistance now standing at 1965-67 which price needs to break to go higher. Our KOG levels to the upside are complete as well so now we need to see where the price closes and where we find support, with the initial intra-day level being 1955 and below that 1950.

Good week so far with the price moving within our planned path, more news tomorrow and more aggressive price action expected.

As always, trade safe.

KOG

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