Phil_Blue_Line

Gold Futures are looking for a catalyst for a breakout

COMEX:GC1!   Gold Futures
Technical Momentum Weakens

Gold Futures hit an all-time high in 2024 at $2,448 on the June futures contract on April 12. Since then, futures have corrected; however, gold remains firmly above the rising 50-day moving average at $2,269 and well above the 200-day moving average at $2094. The technical perspective shows momentum studies declining, with the 9-day moving average trading above the 18-day.

Stochastics are rising from oversold territory, and DMI - slightly above DMI+ , indicating that the bears are technically in control.

Tailwinds Continue to Develop

With a 9% chance of a June rate cut, according to the CME's FedWatch tool, traders are focused on September; swaps are pricing in a 65% chance that the Fed will make its first interest rate hike in the cycle.

Geopolitical tensions, rampant fiscal spending, and central bank buying have been the main drivers and have significantly propelled Gold prices recently.

Industrial Metals Strengthen

Performance remains strong in the Precious Metals space and has continued to spill into the industrial complex. Traders continue to monitor manufacturing, Chinese Economic data, and the U.S. economy.

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