In 1989 Japan was known as the "Miracle" economy. Then it crashed, and it was thereafter known as the "Bubble economy" (Funny how things change). While I am becoming more and more a huge US bear, I am becoming heavily bias towards the Japan bull, along with some other Asia markets. Seeing the Japan market down over 75%, stagnate for decades and now starting to...
I think BTC has made another breakout but we're into a correction. Still have shorts on from previous entries around 52K and adds 47.5K and 46.5K. Planning to add more to my trades by limit order on 46K. I have my stop losses moved into a bit of profit now on my 51-53K trades. If there's more downside the the last move breaks we're into a big break area,...
If there was to be a really significant crash in the DJI coming, one that would have decade long effects we'd likely have some clear early warning signs. The first would be a steep crash. This would be a hard crash taking the market down somewhere around 50%. The warning signs of that starting a a bit more speculative but that having happened is really obvious....
This is my forecast of the price swings in a big BTC crash.
Arrrox swings. From current 46,700 to 42 - 43 From 43 to 44 - 45 From 45 persistent down trend begins. Not a "Crash" - a downtrend. Price moving progressively lower over a long period of time. Terrible time to be a bull.
Bad stop loss on the last one. Should have set it wider or waited on a spike. Looks like the spike's over now. Trying again.
Was a bit too early on last USDCAD trade but I think that was the spike out and the move is ready to go. I think last high will break and USD will become an uptrend.
Adding to my ETH short. I think that big drop was the first breakout. We'll trend down towards the lows. If the lows break, we'll head into a steady lower lows downtrend lasting quite some time.
Adding to my ADA position. Have some entries in from before the drop. Took some profits during it. Scaling up to full position again now.
I think the SPX has made a bearish breakout and we're going to see a down swing starting. I have swing shorts on and this is an intermediate short.
I think the next BTC drop is approaching. Scaling up my position and moving some stops from the previous sells into breakeven.
Pop. That's what I was waiting for. A big bull candle. Now I'll add to my sells. Like the RR. I'll post revised / contingent plans later in the day if this short level does not work out - but up to full risk in BTC short again now.
Been looking for the USD bull since about April. Ever so slowly it creeps up I think. Adding to my USDCAD position. See linked.
Adding to my current RUT position. Market wiped up close to the stop but a good rejection before indicating these resistance levels may be important. Scaling up my short.
I think it's time to prep for a much bigger and nastier break in BTC. This looks like it might turn into a shallow bull trap. If it is, all the big buyers probably already left the BTC market. Can get ugly.
Currently short expecting a retrace. I become a big USD bull if we dip to the indicated level. I think USD is a swing long.
I now have two trade plans to enter BTC short. Preferred (By "Preferred, I just mean I think it's more likely / have trades more skewed to that): A sharp rally up to just over 51K. Some fast dips and spikes into the high starting somewhere over 50K. Fill limit orders in and around 51K. Possible add tight stops with PA signals. Contingent: Buy stop losses...
Out my buys because momentum sucks. Taking my short lower and also looking for perhaps a bigger uptrend. This might have already made the bull traps.