... for a 1.08 credit.
Comments: Laddering out on weakness, targeting the strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit at or below the cost basis of the shares I've currently got.
... for a .98 credit.
Comments: Laddering out at intervals at strikes between 85 and 82, assuming they're paying.
This is naturally longer-dated than most will want to go, but is part of a TLT position made up of covered calls (stock + short call) and short puts, so that I'm getting paid for (a) short call premium; (b) dividends; and (c) short put premium over...
If it was Rocky Balboa vs the NASDAQ:TLT I'd take the TLT every time..
Not only is TLT Bull Flagging on the dominant chat, it also formed a mean double bottom.
Combined with the divergent and imminent positive crossing on the CCI, i'd say we have one hell of a breakout on our hands Coming Soon™
Tomorrow it's time again: The US inflation data will be released. Over the past two years, the significance of this report has increased significantly, as it allows conclusions to be drawn about the future monetary policy of the Fed. Accordingly, the monthly event is associated with a lot of volatility, comparable to that seen when the labor market data is...
This week the TLT long-term US Treasury bond ETF bounced from a key support level.
Meanwhile, the three-month rate of change on core PCE—the Fed's preferred inflation measure—dropped to 2.2%, near the Fed's 2% target. With a looming government shutdown, we're also seeing the first serious Congressional effort to impose fiscal discipline in a long time. Any...
We have seen how the interest rates increase has been affecting people with mortgages but in the equity/bond market, it also reflect a similar picture.
When interest rates go up, the bond prices fall. And you can see from chart, it has fallen close to 50% from the peak of 180 to 92 before it recovers recently to 106.
Now, if you believe my predictions that FED...
Same analysis as ZROZ same pattern possibly forming which again coincide roughly with fed decision timetable.
Cup and handle formation.
Could see and initial finalizing of the handle which would take us 7% by April.
Could see that giving us a bull run to end of May for a 20% total gain...
This is not financial advice... it's crystal ball territory. For an...
TLT (The 20-Year US Treasury Bond ETF) has recently completed the measured move of the Ascending Broadening Wedge Breakdown and has now confirmed a Piercing Line on the 3-Month Chart while closing above the 0.886 Retrace. We can also see that the RSI has begun to break out of its downtrend and these combinations of variables seem to point towards the TLT reversing...
... for a 1.10 credit.
Comments: Although I have a long-dated covered call on in TLT, starting to ladder out some short put at intervals that would result in an improvement of my cost basis in the covered call were I to be assigned shares.
Targeting the strike that's paying around 1% of the strike price in credit.
can keep sl at 78 , inspired by a chart post I saw somewhere I love these the of set ups , catch a falling knife and put in in your socket and save it for a rainy day
We made good money shorting NASDAQ:TLT into the summer down to the initial target I had of $88. Then we flipped long again and I exited my longs earlier this month on Dec 7th. Now, as you can see from the first chart , we've come up against resistance and I think it's time to flip short again to retest the lows.
How low we go is TBD, but I think this move...
NASDAQ:TLT remains in a strong bearish trend.
After breaking through the 93 zone, the bond price rose.
It has not been able to break the first resistance found in the 103.70 zone, and it has another more important resistance in the 110 level.
At the moment I am not going to buy long-term american bonds, and I am still invested in monetary asset investment...
Some weeks ago TLT was trading within a Falling Wedge and Double Bottoming at the 0.382 with Bullish Divergence on the Hourly Timeframe and from there rallied to hit its 0.618 Profit Target. Since then, it has come back down just below the level it started at but in doing so has yet again formed Bullish Divergence near the 0.382, this time on higher timeframes. If...
... for a 1.08 credit.
Comments: Targeting the 52-week low here with a rung out in September (I've already got rungs on in April, May, June, etc.), which I think is unlikely to be touched in light of talk about the Fed cutting rates ... at some point in time.
Naturally, if I'm wrong, I'm also fine with picking up shares at a cost basis below the covered call...
TLT is ready for upside momentum once the Fed fund rates are expected to drop rates starting in 2nd Quarter of the year. S&P 500 is expected to take a down turn once the Fed pivot is triggered
TLT is here on a 15-minute chart. Price action is orderly and somewhat related to treasury yield
fluctuations and the value of the existing securities adjusting from those fluctuations. There is
adequate volatility. A straddle options strategy can be employed. Positions can be taken
in both directions. Depending on price action, one leg will rise and the...
