THE KOG REPORT: I last week’s KOG report we said we would be watching that 2340 extension level for a move upside in the early part of the week, and if achieved we would be looking to short the market back down initially into the 2310 level which is where we felt the RIP will come from. We had a little stretch into 2355 but got the move we wanted for the trade...
The U.S. Federal Reserve is anticipated to maintain the federal funds target range at 5.25%-5.5% when officials conclude their two-day meeting on Wednesday. Investors will be scrutinizing the statement to learn when the central bank might eventually reduce its rate and the potential frequency of such cuts this year. Market expectations suggest a possible rate...
The dollar is right on its projected path as expected. Inflation has prevented the Fed from lowering rates at least once. Can we expect a rate drop before the end of the year? My guess is that even with a bit of inflation showing the Fed will drop rates at least once. There are several reasons for my conclusion here not least of which are weakening economic...
We have another eventful week ahead with numerous Federal Reserve officials scheduled to speak publicly. Anecdotally, I seem to recall Mester and Kashkari are two of the most impactful speakers, and this week provides an excellent opportunity to see if this holds true. Kashkari recently left The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), so his impact might be lessened...
www.tradingview.com gold is currently trending within an ascending triangle approaching the 2354 resistance level. should it break through the 2354 maek the asset may be driven to retest the 2387 level
The Japanese yen is slightly lower on Thursday. USD/JPY is trading at 156.70, down 0.08% on the day at the time of writing. Japan’s PMIs for April were a mixed bag and the yen didn’t show much reaction. Services PMI dipped to 53.6, down from 54.3 in March and just shy of the forecast of 53.8. This was the smallest growth in services since February. Manufacturing...
Hello traders I hope you guys are doing great today in fomc meeting I am going to buy gold because of the following reason gold is it on there support point and I am seeing a good momentum in buy till 2423 because if buy trend in the kariet trend is your friend :)
1. We had a news release last night during the asian session - the outcome was bullish on EUR/JPY 2. I believe we will have a continuation of this bullish sentiment coming to the NY/LUNCH/PM session. lets wait and see what the market delivers - staying fixed on a trading model is integral for generating profits.
Scenario 01 : if the Federal Reserve raise interest rates : Probability of this to happend is lower in my opinion but could happend somehow 1. *Dixie (USD Index):* Typically, when interest rates rise, the value of the dollar strengthens. This is because higher interest rates attract foreign investment, increasing demand for the dollar. So, the Dixie would...
Upon reviewing gold in the weekly timeframe, we observe that the price is trading around $2298. If the NFP data is announced to be higher than the forecasted rate, it will strengthen the dollar index and consequently cause a significant drop in gold prices! Should this occur and gold stabilizes below $2300, we can expect a fall in gold prices to lower levels such...
During FOMC yesterday we saw news push Gold prices up as manipulation. Then overnight during Asian session we saw Gold prices move back down again, taking out those who bought during news. Our sell position now running 1,330 PIPS in profit!
The KOG REPORT – FOMC This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in...
2nd May DXY: Consolidate along 105.50, Look for price to break 105.50, trade down to 105.30. NZDUSD: Buy 0.5960 SL 20 TP 50 AUDUSD: Buy 0.6590 SL 25 TP 65 USDJPY: Sell 154.80 SL 50 TP 180 GBPUSD: Buy 1.2570 SL 40 TP 80 EURUSD: Watch the resistance level Buy 1.0750 SL 30 TP 70 or Sell 1.0715 SL 30 TP 65 USDCHF: Sell 0.9130 SL 20 TP 75 USDCAD: At the support...
I approached the charts fresh out of the shower. I got in at 9:20 AM NY Time and got to the computer around 9:40 AM NY time. But anyway, I saw on the weekly that we were slowly rejecting lows. So, that means if I saw either a shift in structure or a change in the state of delivery, aka a break above an OB that has taken liquidity to go higher on the 4H or 1H,...
Yesterdays sells worked out really good, from my own analysis and source market makers are buying today. This is why they have prices lower so as to get discount. I am bullish for todays end of the month trade. Entry at 2312 stops below 2305 targets back up at 2338. Use proper risk management. This is not a financial advice it is for educational purposes and a...
The potential for a bearish breakout exists, targeting around 1.06350. Monitor tomorrow's FOMC fund rate decision and speeches, as they could influence market direction. Consider entering on reversals for a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Why has the US dollar sunk in the lead up to the FOMC decision? Bloomberg Economics says “We expect Powell to make a hawkish pivot” regarding the FOMC’s decision this Wednesday. Expectations for rate reductions have been pushed further into 2024. So, why is the US dollar underperforming to start this week? And does this open up an even more attractive entry...
USD/JPY: Breaching 158.500 signals potential run to 160? The JPY weakened below 158.200 against the dollar. It is the first time since May 1990 we have seen this exchange rate for the USD/JPY. The reason is being attributes to the Bank of Japan keeping interest rates unchanged last Friday. With the USD/JPY comfortably above both the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, a...