A high number of European Central Bank (ECB) officials are making public speeches in the 24 before the Fed rate decision this week Wednesday that could help or hinder the EUR/USD. Also, thrown in the mix now is French President Emmanuel Macron’s decision to call for a snap local election after the results of the EU Parliament elections, adding to market...
In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency trading, recent developments in global monetary policy have sparked renewed interest in the BTCUSD market. With the European Central Bank's (ECB) recent decision to trim interest rates and today's release of better-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, coupled with ongoing speculation of potential interest rate...
Technical Analysis and Outlook: In this week's trading, the Eurodollar has completed our Inner Currency Rally of 1.091 and reverted sharply to our designated target of the Mean Sup 1.080. The currency is expected to continue its downward trajectory to Mean Sup 1.075 with a follow-up Dead-Cat rebound to the reverted resistance level of 1.080 (Previous Mean Sup)....
The European Central Bank (ECB) has decided to cut interest rates by 0.25% unanimously, reflecting growing concerns about the economic health of the Eurozone. With inflation expected to slow to 1.9% by 2026 and GDP growth projected at 0.9% in 2024 and 1.6% in 2026, the ECB aims to stimulate borrowing and investment to drive economic growth. However, many investors...
6th June DXY: Look for DXY to climb to 104.45 before ECB decision, break 104.45 could trade up to 104.75 - 105 NZDUSD: Sell 0.6195 SL 25 TP 55 AUDUSD: Sell 0.6625 SL 15 TP 30 USDJPY: Buy 156.65 SL 30 TP 130 (Hesitation at 157.40) GBPUSD: Sell 1.2750 SL 20 TP 60 EURUSD: Sell 1.0860 SL 20 TP 70 (ECB Rates Decision) USDCHF: Sell 0.88808 SL 30 TP 70...
Given the increasing likelihood that the ECB will cut rates before the Fed, further EUR/USD depreciation could be anticipated in the coming days/ weeks. A move below the 100-day moving average would have traders looking toward the 200-day moving average of 1.0853. However, weaker jobs data from the US this week is tempering this expectation, which means some...
Technical Analysis and Outlook: In this week's trading, the Eurodollar bounced off our Mean Res 1.089 and 1.086, respectively, to our Mean Sup 1.081, with a swift and aggressive rebound back to Mean Res 1.086. On the downside, the currency is prone to hitting the Mean Support level of 1.080 once again and targeting a well-established price level of 1.075.
The euro has edged higher after eurozone CPI was hotter than anticipated. EUR/USD is trading at 1.0848 in the European session, up 0.27% on the day. The inflation rate in the eurozone surprised the markets with a hotter-than-expected release for May. The headline figure rose to 2.6% y/y, up from 2.4% in each of the past two months and higher than the market...
Key factors for EUR/GBP trade next week With a European Central Bank (ECB) decision due next week, a trade in the GBP/EUR could be of interest. Presently, the EUR/GBP is trading at the lowest rate since August of 2022. The divergence in monetary policy between the ECB and the Bank of England (BOE) is what could be driving this weakness in the EUR. E ECB...
The euro has in positive territory on Thursday. EUR/USD is trading at 1.0840 in the North American session, up 0.37% on the day. The week wraps up with eurozone inflation on Friday. The market estimate for May stands at 2.5% y/y/, compared to 2.4% in April. The core inflation rate is expected to tick higher to 2.8% y/y, up from 2.7% in April. In Germany, the...
Consumer price pressures in Germany accelerated in April to 2.4% y/y, which marked the first uptick since December. Eurozone inflation meanwhile persisted at the same level (May preliminary due on Friday), while wages in the region increased in the first quarter. This has created some worries around the disinflation process and the central bank’s prospects for...
The euro is quiet on Wednesday. EUR/USD is trading at 1.0840 in the North American session, down 0.14% on the day. Germany’s inflation rate rose to 2.4% y/y in May, following a 2.2% gain in each of the past two months. The reading was in line with expectations, which explains the euro’s muted reaction. This is the first time in five months that German inflation...
The pair made a strong start to the final week of May, heading towards its first profitable month of the year. This gives it the chance to push for 1.0981, but we are cautious around further gains, as the monetary policy differential is unfavorable. As such, we can see renewed pressure towards the EMA200 (black line) and daily closes would reinstate the bearish...
The euro is drifting on Monday. EUR/USD is down 0.05%, trading at 1.0849 in the North American session at the time of writing. US markets are closed for Memorial Day, which will likely mean a quiet day for the US dollar. In Europe, German Ifo Business Climate stagnated in May and was steady at 89.3. This unchanged from the downwardly revised 89.3 in April and...
Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar bounced off last week's established Mean Resistance level of 1.089 and reached our specified lower target of the Mean Support level of 1.082. The likelihood of revisiting the Mean Resistance level of 1.089 and reaching the Inner Currency Rally level of 1.091 is slim. On the downside, the currency is prone to hit the...
Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this week's trading session, the Eurodollar made a spectacular surge on the upside to our Inner Currency Rally 1.084 and a lot more. Current market conditions suggest that the Eurodollar may continue upward momentum to complete our Inner Currency Rally 1.091 via the newly created Mean Res 1.089. On the downside, the currency...
The euro has posted slight losses on Friday. EUR/USD is down 0.28%, trading at 1.0837 in the North American session at the time of writing. The April inflation report showed that headline inflation remained steady at 2.4% y/y, holding at its lowest level in almost three years. Services inflation and energy prices declined, while food, alcohol and tobacco prices...
Wednesday’s US CPI report showed a moderation in price pressures in April, following months of persistence, with headline inflation easing to 3.4% y/y and core to 3.6% y/y. Along with the miss in retail sales, markets strengthened their pricing for two rate cuts this year by the Fed, staring in September. The greenback fell as a result, sending EURUSD to the...